NCSHA Releases 2024 Election Analysis

Donald Trump was again elected President Tuesday, Senate Republicans regained control of that chamber, and House Republicans appear likely to maintain a small majority, though too many races remain undecided to be certain. Read NCSHA’s election analysis here.
Senate Republicans picked up at least three seats to secure a clear majority in that chamber. As of this writing, Republicans will control 52 seats and Democrats will control 44, with four races not yet decided.
The announced House results indicate the new House will have at least 206 Republicans and 191 Democrats, with no net gain for either party and 38 races yet to be determined. House control may not be known for weeks as mail ballots are counted for races in the western part of the country.
Republican candidates for governor were elected in Indiana, Missouri, Montana, New Hampshire, North Dakota, Utah, Vermont, and West Virginia, while Democrats won in Delaware, North Carolina, and Washington. No governorships changed party.
When Congress returns for a post-election session November 12, it will focus on disaster relief, appropriations, leadership elections, and other major issues it hopes to address before the end of the year — as well as preparing for rapid action on nominations, tax legislation, and Trump’s FY 2026 budget request as soon as President Trump is inaugurated January 20 and Republicans take control of the Senate.
The current continuing resolution (CR) allowing federal programs to continue operating generally at FY 2024 funding levels expires December 20. By then, to keep the government running, Congress needs to pass another CR or enact appropriations legislation to fund the government for the remainder of FY 2025. In addition, Congress is expected to enact supplemental disaster appropriations legislation to provide relief for damages caused by recent hurricanes, which will likely take precedence over full FY 2025 appropriations. The most likely outcome therefore is a disaster supplemental coupled with a short‐term CR extending the funding deadline to a new date early next year, likely in February or March.
NCSHA will provide updates as events warrant.